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Market purgatory continues Despite the generally positive developments highlighted below, our outlook remains neutral and we see the S&P 500 remaining rangebound between support at 2,720-2,730...
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As market participants attempt to digest the Trump/Xi G20 meeting and resulting trade cease-fire, the S&P 500 remains below logical resistance at 2,964. While a breakout would not be...
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Market at key inflection point, still vulnerable We remain cautious with an overall neutral outlook as indicators continue to send mixed signals. By and large, new developments have been negative, but...
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Testing 1-month resistance All of the major averages (S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow) are testing key 1-month resistance levels. This test of short-term resistance comes despite new developments...
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Upgrading Energy to Market Weight Better economic data and optimism surrounding US-China trade (notwithstanding last Friday) has put a floor under Treasury yields and has led investors to take profits...
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Add Exposure to Emerging Markets, Retail Several recent positive developments are encouraging and incrementally improve our outlook, however there are several other items on our bull market wish list...
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Bullish Developments Continue; Downgrading Communications Bullish developments continue to flood the market, leading us to believe we may be in the early stages of a broad-based advance. • Bullish...
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Hanging in the balance Last week\'s worse-than-expected economic data further spooked investors and reignited global growth concerns. Despite the many potential risks that we can point to for this...
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Global indexes at major resistance Despite the S&P 500 having crept into all-time high territory, several signals continue to give us reason for pause as they are not indicative of what we...
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Upgrading Industrials, Downgrading Defensives The current market scenario is not what we would consider “perfect†for a bull market, but it certainly has most of the necessary ingredients....
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Add Exposure to Small-Caps; Upgrading Health Care Bullish price and RS inflections for small-caps (IWM) is the latest positive development underpinning our belief that we are in the early stages of a...
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Constructive Pullback Coronavirus concerns are hitting stocks due to prospects of lower economic growth. A question we ask ourselves is whether the worst of the declines are behind us and that the...
View ArticleSelect Sector SPDR-Financial (US81369Y6059) ... Vermilion Compass: Weekly...
Still Bullish, But With Reservations And just like that, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy has paid off....
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The major averages (S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq) are showing signs of stalling out, with all breaking below uptrends that began at the lows of March. While we do not want to get too far ahead of...
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In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look...
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Bullish Outlook Warranted; Offensive Sector Shift In our 5/18/20 ETF Pathfinder we saw the S&P 500 as consolidating and, until there was a resolution below support or above resistance, our...
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Upgrading Utilities; Downgrading Communication Services We remain bullish following breakouts on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 from their bullish falling wedge patterns. The Russell 2000 (IWM) has...
View ArticleSelect Sector SPDR-Financial (US81369Y6059) Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector...
STRATEGY In our 11/10/20 Compass we highlighted our belief that current market dynamics suggest eventual decisive breakouts as the most likely outcome for the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq...
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Defensive Sectors Improving; Small-Caps Weakening We are beginning to get some signals which suggest the market is entering a more mixed environment. These signals include RS improvement for defensive...
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Weight Of The Evidence Remains Positive Despite a more mixed and highly rotational market, the weight of the evidence remains positive, and our outlook remains constructive for the weeks and months...
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